Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000739 0.000845 0.000957 0.001085 0.001226 0.001376 0.001547
2025-01-19 0.000560 0.000704 0.000868 0.001066 0.001298 0.001559 0.001874
2025-01-26 0.000485 0.000649 0.000843 0.001089 0.001387 0.001734 0.002164
2025-02-02 0.000425 0.000602 0.000821 0.001107 0.001466 0.001895 0.002441
2025-02-09 0.000364 0.000544 0.000776 0.001089 0.001493 0.001988 0.002633
2025-02-16 0.000312 0.000492 0.000732 0.001067 0.001509 0.002065 0.002805
2025-02-23 0.000282 0.000465 0.000718 0.001079 0.001569 0.002195 0.003042
2025-03-02 0.000254 0.000439 0.000701 0.001086 0.001619 0.002313 0.003265
2025-03-09 0.000219 0.000398 0.000661 0.001056 0.001616 0.002359 0.003395
2025-03-16 0.000189 0.000361 0.000622 0.001026 0.001609 0.002398 0.003513
2025-03-23 0.000170 0.000339 0.000604 0.001023 0.001641 0.002488 0.003701
2025-03-30 0.000153 0.000320 0.000588 0.001022 0.001673 0.002578 0.003890
2025-04-06 0.000135 0.000297 0.000566 0.001010 0.001689 0.002647 0.004053
2025-04-13 0.000118 0.000273 0.000539 0.000990 0.001693 0.002699 0.004194
2025-04-20 0.000111 0.000266 0.000539 0.001012 0.001759 0.002840 0.004462
2025-04-27 0.000103 0.000258 0.000537 0.001029 0.001818 0.002972 0.004719
2025-05-04 0.000091 0.000239 0.000515 0.001012 0.001822 0.003024 0.004863
2025-05-11 0.000079 0.000220 0.000491 0.000991 0.001820 0.003065 0.004990
2025-05-18 0.000073 0.000213 0.000487 0.001003 0.001869 0.003184 0.005232
2025-05-25 0.000067 0.000204 0.000481 0.001009 0.001910 0.003290 0.005458
2025-06-01 0.000058 0.000186 0.000455 0.000981 0.001892 0.003307 0.005551
2025-06-08 0.000050 0.000170 0.000431 0.000952 0.001872 0.003318 0.005634
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000161 0.000421 0.000950 0.001896 0.003398 0.005823